Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001455 0.001544 0.001636 0.001738 0.001847 0.001962 0.002092
2025-02-16 0.001360 0.001490 0.001630 0.001792 0.001974 0.002174 0.002410
2025-02-23 0.001258 0.001412 0.001582 0.001785 0.002021 0.002289 0.002617
2025-03-02 0.001157 0.001323 0.001511 0.001740 0.002014 0.002334 0.002738
2025-03-09 0.001082 0.001256 0.001458 0.001710 0.002018 0.002386 0.002864
2025-03-16 0.001032 0.001216 0.001432 0.001706 0.002050 0.002470 0.003030
2025-03-23 0.000981 0.001171 0.001396 0.001688 0.002061 0.002526 0.003159
2025-03-30 0.000942 0.001136 0.001372 0.001682 0.002084 0.002595 0.003307
2025-04-06 0.000899 0.001095 0.001337 0.001658 0.002083 0.002632 0.003412
2025-04-13 0.000858 0.001056 0.001301 0.001632 0.002075 0.002658 0.003501
2025-04-20 0.000808 0.001002 0.001244 0.001576 0.002025 0.002624 0.003504
2025-04-27 0.000792 0.000990 0.001242 0.001590 0.002070 0.002719 0.003693
2025-05-04 0.000773 0.000976 0.001238 0.001607 0.002122 0.002835 0.003928
2025-05-11 0.000769 0.000984 0.001263 0.001663 0.002233 0.003039 0.004307
2025-05-18 0.000744 0.000960 0.001245 0.001658 0.002256 0.003118 0.004502
2025-05-25 0.000708 0.000920 0.001203 0.001617 0.002226 0.003115 0.004569
2025-06-01 0.000678 0.000888 0.001171 0.001590 0.002212 0.003136 0.004675
2025-06-08 0.000659 0.000870 0.001157 0.001587 0.002235 0.003212 0.004873
2025-06-15 0.000637 0.000847 0.001134 0.001570 0.002236 0.003254 0.005016
2025-06-22 0.000619 0.000829 0.001119 0.001564 0.002252 0.003320 0.005203
2025-06-29 0.000598 0.000805 0.001095 0.001543 0.002243 0.003345 0.005320
2025-07-06 0.000577 0.000782 0.001070 0.001518 0.002228 0.003359 0.005418
2025-07-13 0.000549 0.000747 0.001028 0.001467 0.002169 0.003297 0.005375